After finding a CVE and reviewing NVD, which action helps estimate near-term exploitability and prioritize remediation?

• A. Review the CVSS score only
• B. Check the exploit availability in exploit databases
• C. Check the Exploit Prediction Scoring System (EPSS) to estimate likelihood of exploitation in the next 30 days
• D. Assume it will not be exploited unless confirmed by exploit

Answer: (C)

Estimating near-term exploit likelihood to guide remediation is the central idea. EPSS provides a probabilistic 30-day likelihood that a given CVE will be exploited in the wild. By looking at this score, you get a data-driven sense of which vulnerabilities are most likely to be weaponized soon, helping you prioritize patches and mitigations where the risk is highest.

CVSS scores describe severity and general exploitability, but they don’t predict near-term exploitation probability. Relying on exploit databases can help, yet the presence or absence of an available exploit isn’t a reliable indicator of risk within a specific timeframe. And assuming no exploitation will occur without proof ignores uncertainty and forgoes proactive risk management.

So, using EPSS gives a practical, time-bound risk metric to steer remediation efforts, making it the best choice for near-term prioritization.